On Saturday, November 9, at 21:00 China Time, the 13th round of the 2024-25 La Liga season will see reigning champions Real Madrid host Osasuna at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. The recent fortunes of the two teams could not be more different. Real Madrid has been in a slump, suffering back-to-back losses. In contrast, Osasuna has just secured three consecutive victories and is in high spirits. Whether Real Madrid can halt their losing streak in this match is undoubtedly the biggest highlight.
Real Madrid has 24 points with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, placing them second in the league table. They are 9 points behind leaders Barcelona (33 points) despite having played one fewer match. Notably, in their last two matches, Real Madrid suffered a 0-4 defeat to Barcelona in the Spanish Clásico and a 1-3 loss to AC Milan in the UEFA Champions League, both at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. According to multiple media reports, including Marca, the atmosphere within the Real Madrid camp has become tense following these consecutive losses, with even arguments breaking out. Against this backdrop, the team held an internal meeting to seek solutions to their problems.
At the pre-match press conference, Carlo Ancelotti stated, “We have identified the issues and found solutions. Now we need to prove it on the pitch. We focused more on defensive issues; we must change, be more focused, and work collectively. Of course, it’s not just about Kylian Mbappé; Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, and Jude Bellingham also need to step up.” It is clear that whether Real Madrid can improve in terms of mental attitude, competitive form, and especially defensive performance will directly influence the outcome of this match.
Vinícius Júnior has been particularly effective in front of goal recently, scoring 6 goals in his last 5 matches. However, aside from Vinícius, Mbappé has failed to score in his last 3 matches, Rodrygo’s last goal for Real Madrid was on September 25, and Bellingham has yet to score for the club this season. Although Real Madrid has suffered consecutive home losses recently, their overall home record in La Liga this season remains impressive, with 5 wins and 1 loss in 6 matches, giving them an 83% win rate. Historically, Real Madrid holds a dominant advantage over Osasuna, winning 22 of their last 30 meetings (with 6 draws and 2 losses). In their last 21 encounters, Real Madrid has won 16 and drawn 5. Furthermore, they have won all four of their most recent meetings.
Osasuna, currently in fifth place with 21 points (6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses), has been performing very well recently. They have won their last three matches—2-0 against Real Sociedad (La Liga), 1-0 against Valladolid (La Liga), and 5-0 against Chiclana (Copa del Rey)—without conceding a single goal. This season, Osasuna has shown a significant difference between their home and away performances. At home, they have won 5 out of 7 matches, drawing 1 and losing 1, earning 16 points, which is the best home record in La Liga. They even defeated Barcelona 4-2 at home. However, their away record is much weaker, with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in 5 matches.
Osasuna has scored 17 league goals so far, but they have never scored in the first 15 minutes of a match, indicating poor early-game momentum. There is also a significant difference in their goal-scoring efficiency at home versus away. They have scored 13 goals at home but only 4 away. Recently, Osasuna’s manager Jagoba Arrasate returned to his hometown of Massanassa to participate in flood relief efforts. However, he has returned to the team in time for this match and will lead them to Madrid. In Osasuna’s recent victories over Real Sociedad and Valladolid, Budimir has scored in consecutive matches, showing excellent form.
>>”>For more predictions and analysis, please click here>>>