Plans Changed? Data Predicts China’s Direct World Cup Qualification Probability at 6%, 50% Chance of Entering Playoffs

Plans Changed? Data Predicts China's Direct World Cup Qualification Probability at 6%, 50% Chance of Entering Playoffs

On November 16, Beijing Time, in the World Cup qualifier 18-team round that concluded in the early hours of November 15, Zhang Yuning scored a last-minute goal against Bahrain, helping the Chinese national team secure all three points away and achieve two consecutive wins. Currently, after five matches with two wins and three losses, they have accumulated six points and are temporarily ranked fourth in the group.

The latest prediction by an overseas data agency, based on the results of the first five matches of the Chinese men’s football team in the 18-team round of the World Cup qualifiers, shows:

The probability of the Chinese national team ultimately finishing in the top two of the group and directly qualifying for the World Cup is 6%.

The probability of finishing third or fourth and entering the next stage of the World Cup qualifiers is 50%.

The probability of ultimately finishing fifth or sixth and being eliminated is 44%.

Plans Changed? Data Predicts China's Direct World Cup Qualification Probability at 6%, 50% Chance of Entering Playoffs

In the same group, Japan has won all five of their matches in the first round and has almost (99.99%) secured a direct qualification spot for the World Cup.

The next match will be on November 19, Beijing Time, when the Chinese national team will face Japan at home in Xiamen. In their first encounter, the Chinese men’s football team suffered a heavy defeat, losing 0-7 away to Japan.

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