Today, FIBA officially published an article analyzing the current situation for advancing from the group stage in the Olympic men’s basketball tournament, as follows.
Group A
Canada’s advancement conditions:
1. Canada defeats Australia, Greece defeats Spain, Canada advances as group leader
2. Canada defeats Australia, France defeats Japan, Germany defeats Brazil
3. Canada defeats Australia, USA defeats South Sudan, Serbia defeats Puerto Rico
4. Canada defeats Australia, South Sudan defeats USA, Puerto Rico defeats Serbia (less likely)
Australia’s advancement conditions:
1. Australia defeats Canada, Spain defeats Greece, Australia will advance as group leader
2. Australia defeats Canada, France defeats Japan, Germany defeats Brazil
3. Australia defeats Canada, USA defeats South Sudan, Serbia defeats Puerto Rico
4. Australia defeats Canada, South Sudan defeats USA, Puerto Rico defeats Serbia (less likely)
Greece’s elimination condition:
Spain defeats Greece, Australia defeats Canada
Spain’s elimination condition:
Greece defeats Spain, Canada defeats Australia
Group B
France’s advancement conditions:
1. France defeats Japan, Germany defeats Brazil
2. France defeats Japan, Greece defeats Spain, Canada defeats Australia
3. France defeats Japan, Spain defeats Greece, Australia defeats Canada
4. France defeats Japan, USA defeats South Sudan, Serbia defeats Puerto Rico
5. France defeats Japan, South Sudan defeats USA, Puerto Rico defeats Serbia
Germany’s advancement conditions:
1. Germany defeats Brazil, France defeats Japan
2. Germany defeats Brazil, Greece defeats Spain, Canada defeats Australia
3. Germany defeats Brazil, Spain defeats Greece, Australia defeats Canada
4. Germany defeats Brazil, USA defeats South Sudan, Serbia defeats Puerto Rico
5. Germany defeats Brazil, South Sudan defeats USA, Puerto Rico defeats Serbia
Group C
South Sudan’s advancement conditions:
1. South Sudan defeats USA, Puerto Rico defeats Serbia, South Sudan will advance as group leader
2. South Sudan defeats USA, France defeats Japan, Germany defeats Brazil
3. South Sudan defeats USA, Greece defeats Spain, Canada defeats Australia
4. South Sudan defeats USA, Spain defeats Greece, Australia defeats Canada
USA’s advancement conditions:
1. USA defeats South Sudan, Serbia defeats Puerto Rico, USA will advance as group leader.
2. USA defeats South Sudan, France defeats Japan, Germany defeats Brazil
3. USA defeats South Sudan, Greece defeats Spain, Canada defeats Australia
4. USA defeats South Sudan, Spain defeats Greece, Australia defeats Canada
Serbia’s elimination condition:
Puerto Rico defeats Serbia, South Sudan defeats USA
Puerto Rico’s elimination condition:
Serbia defeats Puerto Rico, USA defeats South Sudan
Given that the US team and Serbia have a significantly larger gap in strength compared to South Sudan and Puerto Rico in Group C, the situation is relatively clear.
