The 2024 UEFA European Championship will kick off on June 14, with the opening match seeing hosts Germany taking on Scotland at Munich’s Allianz Arena. The last edition was won by Italy under Roberto Mancini’s guidance, and to forecast who might lift the trophy this time, a supercomputer has conducted an extensive analysis of the 24 participating teams’ form.
The supercomputer ran thousands of simulated matches, revealing that England, coached by Gareth Southgate, has an approximately 19.9% chance of winning the tournament, with a 70%, 48.2%, and 31.1% likelihood of reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final, respectively.
Runner-up in the 2022 World Cup, France, follows closely with a 19.1% chance of triumph and a substantial 30.4% probability of making it to the final.
The host nation, Germany, has a home-turf夺冠 hope of 12.4%.
Despite their formidable strength, defending champions Italy have just an 11.4% chance of reaching the final and a mere 5% likelihood of retaining their title according to the model.
For Scotland fans, there is some optimism as Steve Clarke’s team has a 58.9% probability of advancing from the group stage to the round of 16, though their chances of reaching the quarterfinals drop to 23.5%.
As debutants, Georgia could emerge as a dark horse in this tournament, although their chances of winning are negligible at only 0.1%. However, surprisingly, they have a 37.2% simulation rate of progressing to the round of 16, indicating promising potential.