On June 26 at 3 am, in the final Group C match of the European Championship, Denmark will face Serbia. A draw would be enough for Denmark to guarantee progression, while Serbia also has a chance to advance if they secure all three points against Denmark. Historically, Denmark holds a dominant record against Serbia.
Denmark is currently ranked 21st in FIFA. In the first two group matches, Denmark drew 1-1 with Slovenia (Eriksen scoring) and then drew 1-1 with England (Jørgensen scoring a long-range wonder goal). Eriksen has demonstrated excellent form, scoring one goal and providing the most key passes (11) in the first two rounds, making him the player with the most key passes in the group stage so far. Additionally, Hojbjerg showcased his fine form, being named man of the match in Denmark’s 1-1 draw against England.
Denmark’s qualification prospects look promising; a point against Serbia will ensure their advancement. With another point, they would have three (with a goal difference of zero), which would secure them a top-three finish in Group C. Hungary, currently third in Group A, has three points but a -3 goal difference, and Croatia, third in Group B, has two points. Therefore, a single point for Denmark would guarantee their qualification.
In their recent head-to-head encounters, Denmark has emerged victorious in all three matches against Serbia. They won 3-1 in an UEFA qualifier in November 2014, 2-0 in another UEFA qualifier in June 2015, and 3-0 in a friendly match in March 2022.
Serbia, currently ranked 33rd in FIFA, began the tournament with a 1-0 loss to England and a 1-1 draw against Slovenia (with Jovic scoring an equalizer in stoppage time). Serbia, with only one goal scored in two games, is one of the teams with the fewest goals among the 24 European Championship participants. Key forwards like Vlahović, Mitrović, and Tadić have yet to make an impact in the attack.
Despite their current position, Serbia has shown competitiveness against England in terms of possession, attacks, and shots on target, and dominated these metrics against Slovenia. The team’s ability to regain its attacking form and improve efficiency will be crucial in their pursuit of victory in the final round. Although Serbia currently has only one point, they still have a chance to qualify. A win over Denmark would give them four points, enough to secure a spot in the next round. As a result, Serbia is expected to approach the match against Denmark with greater aggression and proactivity.
The referee for this fixture will be Frenchman Lionel Tetrazzini, while the VAR official will be German Daniel Siebert.
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